Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.059756 0.067724 0.075962 0.085084 0.094874 0.105036 0.116353
2025-03-30 0.047928 0.059829 0.072848 0.088003 0.105024 0.123419 0.144676
2025-04-06 0.040582 0.055031 0.071594 0.091649 0.114952 0.140876 0.171606
2025-04-13 0.033373 0.049073 0.067892 0.091502 0.119761 0.151977 0.190969
2025-04-20 0.030696 0.048073 0.069618 0.097361 0.131267 0.170575 0.218824
2025-04-27 0.025328 0.042888 0.065565 0.095661 0.133323 0.177802 0.233236
2025-05-04 0.022746 0.041043 0.065452 0.098604 0.140831 0.191380 0.255073
2025-05-11 0.019301 0.037539 0.062794 0.097991 0.143689 0.199190 0.269930
2025-05-18 0.017478 0.036161 0.062819 0.100724 0.150663 0.211973 0.290785
2025-05-25 0.015687 0.034596 0.062409 0.102746 0.156640 0.223492 0.310117
2025-06-01 0.012945 0.031145 0.059013 0.100466 0.156839 0.227660 0.320330
2025-06-08 0.010619 0.028036 0.055838 0.098251 0.156931 0.231551 0.330099
2025-06-15 0.009786 0.027573 0.056784 0.102095 0.165486 0.246727 0.354646
2025-06-22 0.008685 0.026481 0.056701 0.104485 0.172184 0.259702 0.376715
2025-06-29 0.007981 0.026051 0.057617 0.108319 0.180886 0.275349 0.402298
2025-07-06 0.006645 0.024089 0.055871 0.108097 0.183933 0.283619 0.418548
2025-07-13 0.006551 0.024787 0.058574 0.114587 0.196374 0.304278 0.450725
2025-07-20 0.005213 0.022412 0.055855 0.112697 0.196974 0.309298 0.462865
2025-07-27 0.004742 0.021999 0.056501 0.115960 0.204861 0.323998 0.487522
2025-08-03 0.003851 0.020297 0.054694 0.115280 0.207050 0.331069 0.502322
2025-08-10 0.003476 0.019903 0.055241 0.118309 0.214583 0.345337 0.526526
2025-08-17 0.003062 0.019291 0.055316 0.120547 0.220959 0.358061 0.548762
2025-08-24 0.002293 0.017302 0.052558 0.118022 0.220244 0.361081 0.558219